Mori Dinauer over at The American Prospect:

Political science to the rescue? Emory's Alan Abramowitz has correctly predicted the popular vote percentages in every presidential election since 1988 within a couple points and claims his model predicts Obama will win 54.3 percent to McCain's 45.7.

I so hope my prediction of a McCain win is wrong. Countervailing bits of evidence like this buoy my hopes — but still can't quite erase the specter of uninformed, ill-informed Joe Sixpack and his racist friends.